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Can
the Earth's magnetic field just "dwindle away," as a forthcoming movie
"The Core" proposes? And if this were somehow to happen--what dire consequences
(also described in the film) could we expect?
Sleep soundly:
the premise is far fetched, and even if it did somehow happen, you would probably
not notice any difference.
Could it happen? The magnetization of the ocean floor (among others) shows
that the north-south "main magnetic field" of the Earth does occasionally
reverse its north-south polarity, at irregular intervals averaging about half
a million years. Right now the intensity of this field is decreasing at about
7% per century. That is a typical rate of variation, suggesting that if a reversal
happens, we will have ample notice.
However, at the reversal itself the field is not necessarily zero. Other, more
complex parts of the field exist, and right now it looks as if these are soaking
up magnetic energy lost from the main north-south field. At the time of reversal,
the Earth may have for a while 4, 6 or more
magnetic poles, and a somewhat weaker field--but it is not expected to
lose its magnetism altogether.
And yet, if it ever did... would we be exposed to radiation bursts from the
Sun--the kind which erupt of the order of once a year (or less)and
can imperil future astronauts on their way to Mars? No, because we are shielded
by the atmosphere, an absorber comparable to 10 feet of concrete. Solar bursts
cannot penetrate that thickness. It is true thatthe
magnetic field of Earth deflects the fast protons of those bursts even before
they reach the top of the atmosphere--but that magnetic shield fails near the
magnetic poles, yet no extra radiation is detectedthere
at ground level.
Without magnetic protection, the solar wind emitted by the Sun would also reach
the atmosphere. Could it perhaps strip our atmosphere away? Maybe, given a
few billion years, but not quickly. Venus lacks a magnetic field and experiences
a stronger solar wind, being closer to the Sun, yet retains a very dense atmosphere.
Mars, without a global-size magnetic field, has only a thin one--but the gravity
holding down
its atmosphere is only 1/3 of ours.
So sleep soundly, even if have watched the movie.
Dr.
David Stern is a retired NASA physicist. In "The Great Magnet, the Earth,"
a set of about 20 linked web pages, he tells the story of geomagnetism, starting
with William Gilbert, physician to Queen Elizabeth I, who in 1600 explained
the magnetic compass. The site also covers magnetic reversals and its home
page is on http://www.phy6.org/earthmag/demagint.htm
or http://pwg.gsfc.nasa.gov/earthmag/demagint.htm |