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Could
a tsunami like the one that has just devastated the countries around the
Indian Ocean hit the eastern United States?
The
answer unfortunately is "yes." There have been in fact several
catastrophic Atlantic tsunamis in the last few centuries. Tsunamis (which
have nothing to do with tides, despite the frequent term "tidal waves")
can be generated by several mechanisms. Sudden movements of the sea floor,
accompanying earthquakes, are the most common cause; this is what caused
the December 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami (actually several waves, not just
one). Volcanic eruptions, such as the Krakatoa event of 1883, can generate
powerful tsunamis; the 1883 one killed thousands of people in Indonesia
and nearby countries. Submarine landslides could generate tsunamis. In
1929, a tsunami probably produced by such a landslide (triggered by an
earthquake) killed several dozen people on the south coast of Newfoundland.
A recent study warned that a landslide of the Cumbre Vieja volcano,in
the Canary Islands, could produce a damaging tsunami around the North
Atlantic. The worst Atlantic tsunami of all was in 1755, produced by the
earthquake that destroyed Lisbon, killing some 60,000 people.
Most known tsunamis have been produced at major active subducting plate
boundaries, notably those around the Pacific Ocean. However, there are
such boundaries in the Caribbean and possibly elsewhere. Added to the
danger of submarine landslides, the tsunami danger is a real one for the
eastern United States. However, if even a couple of hours warning is given,
from seismology, people could move far enough inland ( a few miles) to
escape the worst. In areas like Manhattan, moving up to higher floors
would help in strong, steel-framed skyscrapers.
This
week's question is provided by Dr. Paul Lowman. Paul Lowman is a geophysicist,
originally a geologist, in the Geodynamics Branch of the Laboratory for
Terrestrial Physics. He joined GSFC in December, 1959, in the Theoretical
Division led by Dr. Robert Jastrow. He initially worked on the origin
of tektites, argued by Dr. John O'Keefe to come from the Moon. He helped
plan the Apollo geophysical experiments, and trained Mercury, Gemini,
Apollo, and Skylab astronauts in geologic terrain photography. His most
recent work has been compilation of a global tectonic activity map, appearing
in his 2002 book "Exploring Space, Exploring Earth." AND he
fearlessly (or foolishingly, if you ask him) rides his bike to work along
Greenbelt Road (a very high trafficked road) every day!! WOW!
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