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April 22, 2002 - (date of web publication)

CHANGES IN POLAR ICE CONCENTRATIONS

image of the North Pole ice

Animation 1

The polar regions are both dynamic and vitally important to the well being of the planet. But research and data collection of Arctic Ocean ice isn't easy. That's why so much ice and polar research has turned to space based measuring systems in recent years. Not only are the risks to and limitations of in situ human exploration greatly mitigated, but also new wide scale observation techniques become possible from a perch high above the planet.

image of the South Pole ice

Animation 2

That's leads us to Aqua's role in studying ice. Of the many jobs assigned to this new Earth observatory, looking at changing sea ice conditions is one of the most cognitively tangible. By using data collected with a number of different satellites from 1978 to 1998, scientists have been able to stitch together a quality- controlled record of sea ice around the poles. The data used to create these visualizations come from different instruments onboard a group of satellites: the scanning multi-channel microwave radiometer on board the Nimbus 7 satellite, and the special sensor microwave imagers on board to the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program's F8, F11, and F13 satellites. The following two visualization sequences present average annual polar ice concentrations for the nineteen-year period studied. Looking at each pole in these visualizations we start by looking at displays of average ice concentrations in March, the annual maximum. As the visualization progresses, we see the quantity of ice diminish as the calendar heads towards September, the annual minimum. The cycle oscillates between maximum and minimum as the calendar advances, ice building up around the poles in winter and receding as summer approaches.

The research behind these images presents certain intellectual challenges, too. Part of the work to make this kind of exploration useful included efforts to account for atmospheric interference, calibration of multiple instruments, and changes in computer processing systems over the two decades since the data started to be collected. With the launch of Aqua, experts hope to continue adding to the historical record of sea ice changes over time.

THE ESSENTIAL BLANKET OF ICE

image of the ice blanket

Animation 3

The polar caps not only hold much of the planet's total fresh water, but also play an important role in regulating the Earth's temperature. One of the most important characteristics that describes the poles is called albedo. It's a measure of how much radiation, or light, is reflected from a body. Similar to how a white shirt helps keep a person cooler in the summer than a black shirt, the vast stretches of polar ice covering much of the planet's top and bottom reflect large amounts of solar radiation falling on the planet's surface. Were the ice caps to appreciably recede, sunlight that otherwise would have been reflected back into space would get absorbed by the darker, denser mass of ocean and land beneath. As light is absorbed, the environment heats up, thus intensifying a feedback loop: a warmer planet yields more ice melting thus an even warmer planet.

This animation provides a close-up perspective of the relationship between ice and solar reflectivity. As glaciers, the polar caps, and in this case, icebergs melt, less sunlight gets reflected into space. It is instead absorbed into the oceans and land, thus raising the overall temperature, and adding energy to a vicious circle.

Of the many concerns voiced by scientists who study global warming trends, rising ocean levels is one of the most dramatic. An average rise in global ocean levels of just a few inches could have devastating effects on coastal towns, cities, and ecosystems. Why then is even the slightest risk of a shrinking polar cap not sounding alarms all across the world's lowland regions?

For ice found in the frozen northern ocean, the issue comes down to a simple principle proved thousands of years ago by the Greek philosopher and scientist Archimedes. He showed that a body, in this case the floating ice of the North Pole region, immersed in a fluid, is buoyed up by a force equal to the weight of the displaced fluid. In other words, since the northern pack ice is already floating, its melting would not independently cause ocean levels to rise. However, the attending planetary conditions necessary to facilitate polar melting would likely have other enormous effects on the environment, including the likely melting of the Greenland ice sheet and the southern polar sheet. As the ice over Greenland and Antarctica is NOT floating, a corresponding rise in the world's sea level would almost certainly result if that ice melted.

Several of the instruments onboard Aqua will be watching for signs of change in the planet's icy regions. Similarly, as a research platform designed to study the Earth in systemic terms, Aqua will also be monitoring larger planetary forces that might influence polar ice in an effort to provide the best possible information not only about how our home planet works, but also how it's influenced by people.

CLIMATE AND WEATHER: RELATED BUT DIFFERENT

image of weather conditions

Animation 4

They're not the same, but weather and climate are fundamentally linked. Weather describes the meteorological conditions of a particular place at a particular time. Climate is the term used for characterizing the typical, or at least average, conditions for a particular place.

Here's an example: much of the U.S. showed unusually warm temperatures throughout the autumn and winter of 2001. Scientifically speaking, these were anomalies in weather patterns; the unusually high thermometer readings throughout those months simply showed a greater than average temperature along with lower than average precipitation levels.

But those sunny days when people expected to be wearing winter coats were descriptions of weather. Only if they started to add up year after year, changing long held expectations for what those months ought to bring would they begin to describe climate. Say that year after year the eastern seaboard scarcely cooled in what had traditionally been autumn months, with rain and snow falling infrequently. In this case we would be speaking of the area's climate, or the average conditions.

Said another way, climate is a function of weather patterns taken over time.

SIBLING SPACECRAFT ON ORBIT

image of TERRA and AQUA

Animation 5

Aqua was formerly named EOS PM, a moniker intended to describe its institutional heritage. EOS stands for Earth Observing System; PM designates that the satellite will fly in an orbit that positions it over the Earth so as to be tracked to an afternoon transit during the daylight phase of its swing around the planet. Its slightly older sibling is called Terra. It too had a former name, that being EOS AM. As you might infer, Terra makes its daylight pass during the morning.

The fact that Aqua and Terra follow orbital paths that have them pass by individual locations at different times is significant. Things change throughout the day on Earth, and the ability to make measurements of one place on the globe at different times is a powerful analytic tool. Sunlight on plants promotes photosynthesis, surface temperatures shift, and atmospheric characteristics shift. By adding the measuring capabilities of Aqua to Terra's already operational systems, experts hope to be able to better understand how natural processes on Earth react to cyclical changes throughout the day.

TAKING THE A-TRAIN

image of formation flying of satellites.

Animation 6

The name "A-Train" comes from a planned sequence of satellites on orbit, starting with Aqua and ending with Aura.

These two, and the three or more that will separate them are all part of a spacecraft convoy, each part of the growing fleet of Earth watching satellites that compose the Earth Observing System.

The idea of building a fleet of vehicles is similar to the motivation for having a number of different instruments onboard individual satellites. By turning the eyes of multiple instruments onto individual planetary events, scientists can study various aspects of planetary functions in systemic terms. Different instruments on different orbiting platforms give scientists layers of flexibility to pursue answers about the Earth.

This kind of satellite navigation is called Enhanced Formation Flying. It allows for highly precise cross calibration of instruments as well as near-time multi-instrument measurements.

Enhanced Formation Flying (EFF) employs highly sophisticated software systems, including so-called "fuzzy logic" algorithms to resolve navigational and operational conflicts that inevitably occur in flight. Some of the benefits of flying satellites in formation come in the area of risk management. In the future, by using fleets of less expensive, less complex satellites in place of singularly large, highly sophisticated platforms, a catastrophic failure does not necessarily cause irreparable harm to an overall mission. Further, by flying a suite of sensors in formation, researchers can essentially create one enormous "virtual" satellite by integrating the individual data from each smaller instrument.

AN ENTERPRISE, AN ADVENTURE

image taken from the animation of the Earth Science Enterprise

Animation 7

Aqua is just one component of NASA's growing Earth Observing System, an integrated fleet of satellites and data collection procedures designed to study the Earth in terms of conjoined, interdependent processes.

Space offers a useful and powerful perspective for gathering information about natural and human-induced change around the world. It's not feasible to study changes in the oceans, the atmosphere, or life on Earth in global terms without looking back at the Earth from space.

The Earth Observing System, or EOS, is part of the larger Earth Science Enterprise. ESE continues to develop new technologies and applications aimed at managing natural hazards, civil planning, natural resource management, and much more. In the near term, the program has set its sights on a better understanding of global climate change. But in the long term, this evolving and exciting way of studying how the living Earth works offers great advances in a number of important fields.

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